I have gone on the record, both here and on the air, saying that Fall is my favorite time of the year. With all of the colors and those middle of the road temperatures. Hopefully, we won't by-pass Fall and head right into winter like we have so many times here recently. It's nice to be able to get out and enjoy the cool evenings or mornings. Fall is the perfect time for that. Now why did I get off on this path?!?!? I'm really not sure... I don't even have a point to that whole last paragraph. OH WELL
Since I last wrote you a couple of things have happened.
I have great news for all of us around here though... cooler and more refreshing air should be on the move into Kentucky. A front is expected to pass right over us and allow the cooler air to come filtering into Kentucky. Then a pretty decent area of high pressure will kind of run the show for a couple of days. That high could have some influence on the tropics. (I'll talk more about that later)
Another positive from this cold front will be the showers that will accompany the blast of refreshing air. I expect rain to begin falling on Tuesday and for some of is last (Off and On) until possibly early Wednesday. So not a bad deal at all. With all of the rainfall deficits that are currently in place and most of us being in the Moderate Drought category I think we'll take that rain! Numerous chances exist throughout the forecast period.
I am going to list a couple of surface maps below here. To show you the progression of the cold front.
Where you see the green lines indicates areas to watch for the precipitation possibilities.
You also notice that there is a big high pressure system that comes and parks in the Great Lakes region by Tuesday evening. This will be the big factor that controls our weather pattern for a couple of days. Once the rain leaves early Wednesday morning this high will keep us dry for the rest of the day and part of the day on Thursday. Showers will re-enter the weather picture soon after the high loosens its grip.
Here it is yet another week and we are watching the tropics like we lived on an island in the middle of the ocean. There is good reason that you are seeing all of the national attention this storm is getting... Ike has been a monster once and could be close to that again. At one point this storm was rated as a Category 4 hurricane. After it made landfall at Cuba it weakened quite a bit. The topography of Cuba is very rough and rigid. This can let the air out Ike's balloon and keep it on the weak side. However, this storm is expected to remain a hurricane the whole time that it is over Cuba. Once it rolls off of the coast and heads into the Gulf of Mexico it is expected to re-intensify over the warm waters and possibly become a Category 3 before making landfall somewhere along the Gulf Coast.
I'll have much more coming!