I have been waiting to see of a couple of the models would come together and... well... they are trying to agree. This makes me think a little more highly of the rain chances for the end of the week.
Here's the breakdown on the good old forecast for the folks in eastern Kentucky. Wednesday-Thursday will be like any other day we have had over the last 2 weeks. Sunny and dry! That's the most important part of the forecast... that it is going to be dry around here yet again. That's exactly what we do not need to see!
A friend of mine works at one of the water offices in eastern Kentucky and has said that things are looking pretty rough in the whole water works world. Since I don't want to cause a panic I won't mention which county here since the conversation was off of the record. So we are slowly beginning to see more and more counties concern level climbing.
Of course I am not completely sold on the rain arriving here on Friday, but I do think that there is a better shot than we have seen in a while. Which really isn't saying very much at all. I'll take whatever I can get though. Some of the models are trying to get on the same track with the rain chances around here. Sure these models are still seeing some differences, but they have come a long way from what I had been seeing.
You can see that these two runs are trying to get on the same page... yet there are some differences in the two. This is a whole lot better that where they were. This is one of the things we wait for when processing all of this data... the coming together stage! What we are seeing in each is a low developing along the east coast and it then makes a run inland. That's where that wonderful moisture could be coming from. I'll have more on this later today and I am also watching for some Tropical development.
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