Eastern Kentucky Weather

Now For More Sun

We got what we wanted... just not enough of it to really matter! It's time to enter yet another period of dryness.

The next few days stay on the dry side around here. I am thinking that highs will generally hang right around 80 degrees and lows will be in the mid to upper 50s. I guess if it has to stay on the dry side this is certainly a great route to take now isn't it?!?!?!

New U.S. Drought Monitor data was released to day and here's where we are...

THE PAST WEEK ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY WAS VERY DRY WITH THE ONLY
MEASURABLE RAINFALL OCCURRING ON TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AS A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVED SOUTH OF THE AREA. MOST
LOCATIONS ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY RECEIVED AROUND A QUARTER TO A THIRD
OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL... WHILE AREAS IN THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN
AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE CWA EXPERIENCED AROUND A HALF TO THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH. THE SLOW SOAKING RAINFALL WAS BENEFICIAL...
HOWEVER WILL NOT DO MUCH TO QUELL THE DROUGHT SITUATION ACROSS EAST
KENTUCKY IN THE LONG RUN. THE LATEST EDITION OF THE U.S. DROUGHT
MONITOR RELEASED ON THURSDAY OCTOBER 9TH CONTINUES TO INDICATE
SEVERE (D2) DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING SOUTH AND WEST OF A
LINE EXTENDING FROM MOUNT VERNON TO BARBOURVILLE TO PINEVILLE. THE
REMAINDER OF EAST KENTUCKY IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE (D1) DROUGHT
CONDITIONS.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS.
THE KENTUCKY DIVISION OF WATER HAS ISSUED A WATER SHORTAGE WARNING
FOR MAGOFFIN COUNTY DUE TO CRITICALLY LOW WATER LEVELS IN THE
LICKING RIVER WHICH ARE THREATENING THE ABILITY OF SALYERSVILLE
MUNICIPAL WATER TO SUPPLY ITS CUSTOMERS. THE DIVISION OF WATER HAS
ALSO ISSUED A WATER SHORTAGE WATCH FOR HARLAN... LETCHER...
BREATHITT... CLAY... KNOTT... LESLIE... OWSLEY AND PERRY COUNTIES.
THE WATER SHORTAGE WATCH INCLUDES THOSE CITIZENS RELYING ON
UNDERGROUND MINES AND WELLS FOR THEIR WATER. CITIZENS IN THE WATCH
AND WARNING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO ADHERE TO ALL REQUESTS MADE BY
THEIR LOCAL WATER SUPPLIER TO HELP REDUCE DEMAND FOR WATER. THEY ARE
ENCOURAGED TO LIMIT CAR WASHING AND OUTDOOR WATERING... AVOID HOSING
DOWN PATIOS AND DRIVEWAYS AND LIMIT THE USE OF CLOTHES WASHERS AND
DISHWASHERS.

AS OF THURSDAY OCTOBER 9TH... THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES HAVE ENACTED
LOCAL BURNING BANS: BATH... ELLIOTT... FLEMING... FLOYD...
JOHNSON... MAGOFFIN... MARTIN... PIKE... ROWAN. THOSE WANTING TO
CONDUCT OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD CONTACT YOUR LOCAL COUNTY
JUDGE/EXECUTIVE FOR MORE INFORMATION.

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
AS OF WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 8TH... MIDWEST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER
ESTIMATES INDICATE SOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS OF BETWEEN 1.2 AND 1.8
INCHES IN THE TOP 12 INCHES OF SOIL... AND GREATER THAN 3.5 INCHES
IN THE TOP 72 INCHES OF SOIL. THE LATEST EDITION OF THE KENTUCKY
WEEKLY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT... ISSUED ON SUNDAY OCTOBER 5TH
INDICATES THAT 96 PERCENT OF TOPSOIL IS RATED SHORT OR VERY SHORT
FOR SOIL MOISTURE AND 91 PERCENT OF SUBSOIL IS RATED SHORT OR VERY
SHORT FOR SOIL MOISTURE ACROSS THE STATE OF KENTUCKY.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
REPORTS FROM ACROSS THE STATE CONTINUE TO INDICATE POOR CONDITIONS
FOR PASTURES AND HAY CROPS DUE TO THE DRY WEATHER. CORN...
SOYBEANS... AND TOBACCO HARVESTS ARE ALL BEHIND LAST YEARS PROGRESS
DUE TO THE DRY CONDITIONS. EIGHTY PERCENT OF THE PASTURE LAND ACROSS
THE STATE WAS RATED AS POOR OR VERY POOR CONDITION AS OF SUNDAY
OCTOBER 5TH AND CONCERN IS RISING ABOUT MEETING HAY DEMANDS FOR THE
WINTER.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
FIRE DANGER IS CURRENTLY RATED AS MODERATE ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN
KENTUCKY... WITH A SMALL AREA NEAR CAMPTON AND SLADE IN A HIGH FIRE
DANGER. THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX... WHICH IS A DROUGHT INDEX
DESIGNED SPECIFICALLY FOR FIRE POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT... IS NOW OVER
700 ACROSS MUCH OF EAST KENTUCKY. THIS VALUE... BETWEEN 600 AND 800
IS THE HIGHEST LEVEL AND IS OFTEN ASSOCIATED WITH MORE SEVERE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND INCREASED WILDFIRE OCCURRENCES... INCLUDING
INTENSE AND DEEP BURNING FIRES WITH DOWNWIND SPOTTING. RECENT FIRE
ACTIVITY HAS BEEN REPORTED IN BREATHITT... CLAY... MAGOFFIN...
MARTIN... OWSLEY... PERRY... POWELL... ROCKCASTLE... AND WAYNE
COUNTIES.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION TOTALS CONTINUED TO PLAGUE EASTERN
KENTUCKY FOR THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER AND EARLY OCTOBER. LONDON ENDED
THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER ALMOST THREE INCHES BELOW NORMAL... WHILE
JACKSON ENDED UP OVER THREE INCHES DRIER. IN FACT... THE LONDON
CORBIN AIRPORT SAW SEPTEMBER 2008 FINISH AS THE DRIEST SEPTEMBER ON
RECORD... WITH LAST MONTH/S TOTAL AT THE JACKSON WEATHER OFFICE
ENDING UP AS THE SECOND DRIEST SEPTEMBER ON RECORD. FURTHERMORE...
SEPTEMBER 2008 WAS THE THIRD DRIEST MONTH OF ALL TIME AT BOTH
LOCATIONS. SEPTEMBER MARKS THE 7TH MONTH THIS YEAR WITH A
PRECIPITATION DEFICIT AT JACKSON AND THE 6TH MONTH WITH A DEFICIT AT
LONDON. FOR THE FIRST WEEK OF OCTOBER... JACKSON AND LONDON ARE
ALREADY DRIER THAN NORMAL DESPITE THE RAINFALL ON WEDNESDAY.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES... SEPTEMBER 2008 RANKED IN THE TOP TEN WARMEST
SEPTEMBERS ON RECORD... WITH JACKSON TYING FOR FOURTH WARMEST... AND
LONDON IN SEVENTH PLACE. BOTH LOCATIONS ENDED LAST MONTH A LITTLE
OVER THREE AND A HALF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THE MONTH OF OCTOBER
STARTED OUT BELOW NORMAL WITH LOW TEMPERATURES DIPPING DOWN TO THE
UPPER 30S A COUPLE OF NIGHTS...HOWEVER A GRADUAL WARMUP OCCURRED AND
ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S WERE FELT BY MID WEEK.

THE FOLLOWING TABLE ILLUSTRATES THE SHORT... MEDIUM... AND LONG
RANGE PRECIPITATION DEFICITS OR SURPLUSES BEING OBSERVED AT SEVERAL
EAST KENTUCKY OBSERVING STATIONS. THESE AMOUNTS INCLUDE
PRECIPITATION WHICH FELL THROUGH 8 AM WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 8TH...

                               DEPART| SINCE  DEPART| SINCE  DEPART
STATION                   COUNTY     OCT    NRML |   1JUN08  NRML |     1JAN08  NRML                                        |           

CAVE RUN LAKE     ROWAN        0.20  -0.62 |      13.02  -4.96 |              37.22  -0.27
WEST LIBERTY       MORGAN       0.15  -0.59 |      9.76  -6.64 |                30.44  -4.99
WFO JACKSON       BREATHITT   0.55  -0.26 |     12.45  -5.52 |              29.70  -8.84
BUCKHORN             PERRY          0.10  -0.63 |     11.23  -5.42 |              29.28  -7.86
WILLIAMSON WV     MINGO           0.00  -0.82 |     13.47  -3.87 |              30.78  -5.31
CLOSPLINT             HARLAN         0.22  -0.63 |     16.06  -3.85 |              38.31  -8.29
BARBOURVILLE     KNOX              0.09  -0.67 |     11.36  -6.26 |              30.30  -9.71
LONDON ASOS      LAUREL          0.16  -0.58 |       9.83  -6.27 |              26.87  -9.40
MOUNT VERNON   ROCKCASTLE 0.48  -0.40 |   10.33  -7.69 |             32.19  -8.78
SOMERSET 2N       PULASKI          0.61  -0.22 |    10.47  -7.09 |             30.70  -8.92
MONTICELLO         WAYNE            0.42  -0.36 |        8.51  -8.64 |             28.18 -11.68

If you are interested in seeing what our next real chance of rain looks like just check out the GFS below. It's not impressive, but at least it is something for the middle parts of next week. During some of the earlier runs this week it appeared that the rain chances would happen earlier, but now I am thinking that it might be a little slower than originally thought!

This is just the first chance next week. There are other days that are looking a little better towards the end of next week!

Come out and see us at Guest Weather in Barbourville on Friday!

C-Ya Bye

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