Eastern Kentucky Weather

Election Day Is Finally Here

The end of the Presidential Campaign season is drawing near. Will the weather cooperate with you and your voting plans? Will it cooperate with your candidate? I have some interesting research inside!

I am going to remain rather brief... just going to pass this along to you. I feel terrible!!!! Over the weekend the GF was sick with some sort of a stomach issue and now here I sit dealing with the same symptoms. THANKS!!!!! HAHAHA

The Tuesday-Thursday outlook stays dry and very pleasant. Friday a front slips towards us and knocks temps down by only a few degrees. There will also be a shot for some rain around here. Saturday the temps will drop by 20 to 25 degrees for daytime highs. SO there's my outlook on this week. In case  you missed one of my last post  from last week... I gathered some info from some research that has been done on a national level  concerning weather and elections.

Forecast shaping up to be a nice one! Over the course of history, the relationship between the weather on Election Day, and the results have been analyzed and dissected by political strategists, pollsters, pundits and, of course, members of the media. Is the relationship between the weather and voter behavior fact, fiction or a mix of both?

Voter turnout in Florida is being closely monitored this year. Huge lines in Florida for early voting led Gov. Charlie Crist to issue an executive order extending early voting hours statewide from eight hours a day to twelve.

The Sunshine State decided the 2000 election, and rain on that fateful day may have played a role in the controversial outcome that splits the nation to this day.According to at least one electoral weather study, better weather eight years ago could have given the state to Democrat Al Gore.

Republicans may be praying for bad weather on Tuesday, even though the gap between John McCain and Barack Obama appears to be closing. RealClearPolitics.com reports today that the polls put Obama ahead by anywhere from 3 points to 15 points over his GOP rival.

The common belief is that bad weather hurts Democrats, because more Democrats live in cities and either walk or take public transit to polling stations. A rainy or snowy election day could discourage many Democrat voters from standing in long lines at busy urban polling places.

There may be some truth to the theory. In 2005, a team of political scientists led by Professor Brad Gomez of the University of Georgia completed a ground-breaking study titled "The Republicans Should Pray for Rain: Weather, Turnout, and Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections," published in the June 2007 issue of the Journal of Politics.

Despite the tongue-in-cheek title, the study found the weather "may have contributed to two Electoral College outcomes, the 1960 and 2000 presidential elections," and "poor weather is also shown to benefit the Republican party's vote share."

The research team analyzed the impact of the weather on voter turnout in 14 U.S. presidential elections and concluded that rain reduced voter turnout by a rate of just under 1 percent per inch, while voter turnout dropped by almost one-half of one percent for each inch of snow.

The study concluded that had it not been a bright and sunny day in Pennsylvania, Delaware and New Jersey on Nov. 8, 1960, Richard Nixon would likely have defeated John F. Kennedy to become the 35th President of the United States.

Here's a fun article from the Washington Post.

I like this picture... the way this is clipped together it makes it look like they are determined! One of this two fellas will be leading our country come January and we'll find out which one on Tuesday/Wednesday. Unless it turns out like Election 2000... let's hope not... hahaha

 

C-Ya Bye

Read More Blogs
Comments are posted from viewers like you and do not always reflect the views of this station.
powered by Disqus

WKYT

2851 Winchester Rd. Lexington, Ky 40509 859-299-0411 - switchboard 859-299-2727 - newsroom
Copyright © 2002-2014 - Designed by Gray Digital Media - Powered by Clickability
Gray Television, Inc.