A storm system moved in and brought a chance of showers into the region. This will slowly work its way across Kentucky and once it moves out we could be looking at some much cooler air!
The most important thing about the whole thing will be the rain. We could use several inches spread out over a few weeks, but what we are going to do is pick up a small amount over the next few days. There is more energy located to our south... it looks like it will develop over Arkansas and ride our way. This enhances rainfall chances and possibly the totals that we'll see. This same system will actually allow for temps to bubble back up into the mid and upper 50s. So would call that a warm-up and others would say it is cold. I call it nice compared to what is a head!
The GFS shows the intensification of the rain across Arkansas & Louisiana. That's what we are waiting for around here.
The spread continues into the afternoon hours on Wednesday. You can see the low that I am referring to right in the middle of Arkansas.
This run is showing some of the really decent rainfall out into western sections of the commonwelth. However, I suspect it may be a little more eastward by the time this all rolls through.
The big day for the rain will be on Thursday. This system could bring us some much needed rain to our region. The grand total from this round could be around an inch or so.
This graphic above shows us total rainfall for the first part of the event. Which, as I mentioned above, will be generally around 1 inch. Notice I said the first part of this system... there is more coming up for the weekend. That's where we could be dealing with one of my all-time favorite topics...SNOW!
Let's just use some simple assumptions here... When temps fall to around freezing and there is moisture falling... then something wintry happens. That is the general thought. I said all of that to say this... we have that scenario trying to set-up for the weekend! The moisture starts arriveing on Saturday, but it will start out as rain. Highs for Saturday will occur much earlier than normal. I am talking early morning hours.. like 5am or 6am. Temps will then fall all day long and find themselves dipping into the 30s by late that evening. Keep in mind there will be moisture right here with us and the two are trying to get together over eastern Kentucky. So there could be a late change over for the evening hours.
What we are looking at here is the early morning hours on Saturday. If you notice temps are in the 40s to 50s. Early that morning... now compare that to later on in the afternoon when we should be seeing our warmest temps of the day.
There you see the arrival of the 30s in the region! SO Saturday will be bit of a backwards day with temps. WHich means we could see a mix of everything during the day!
Sunday should have enough cold air to support mainly snow falling from the sky. It looks like the column of air will be cold enough for several thousand feet.
This is a look at the afternoon temps for Kentucky. This has cold air hanging right here... now for a look at any moisture that could be present at the same time.
Not too much mosture to go around... but this is toward the end of the round of precip for eastern Kentucky.
That's all I have for you now...