Eastern Kentucky Weather

So You Wanna Talk About Next Week :)

Posted: Thu 10:10 PM, Jan 29, 2009

I have read all of you comments and it looks like you all agree on one thing... and that is you want to know more about what is coming our way.

Another thing I noticed about your comments was how nice they were. I appreciate those very much! Didn't mean to rant over that stuff, but that just set me on fire!!!!!!!

Quick update for Friday-Sunday. Light snow showers will sweep in on Friday. The snow won't be the big deal with this. It'll mainly be the reinforcing shot of cold air and the winds. I exepct winds to gust up to 30 or 40mph from time to time. Not good news for folks out working to restore power to many that are without.

Saturday: I have included a chance of snow, but it's there just because some pesky moisture keeps showing up. I think most of that will be gone with the first round. However, there will be a really cold shot of air early Saturday morning that forces temps down into teens or flirting with single digits for those with a snow pack on the ground.

Before I get started on my forecast... let me show you what the NWS sent out on Thursday afternoon.

...WINTER STORM POTENTIAL INCREASING FOR EAST KENTUCKY EARLY NEXT
WEEK...

ANOTHER MAJOR WINTER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT EAST KENTUCKY
EARLY NEXT WEEK. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE OUT
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TRACKING GENERALLY ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF
THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAIN CHAIN MONDAY NIGHT. AS A RESULT...THE STRONG
POTENTIAL EXISTS THAT EASTERN KENTUCKY COULD EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATING SNOWS BEGINNING MONDAY AND LASTING THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT. THERE IS STILL SOME QUESTION AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS
STORM SYSTEM...WHICH WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT
SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR. AT THIS TIME...THE THREAT APPEARS TO BE MAINLY
FROM HEAVY SNOW...THOUGH BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW COULD ALSO BE A
PROBLEM TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY...ALONG WITH LOW WIND CHILLS.

Just a special weather statement... but still they are in the same boat that I am in over here in Hazard. We are seeing what's going on with data and all of us know something big is going to happen!

My biggest issue is that we are still a few days out and anything can happen. I am waiting for the westerly jog out of the low. These systems traditionally do that. I mentioned in my last post that if it is still showing this track by Saturday then I might really be concerned. I am letting Monday evening be my guide and your guide. I am watching that timeframe for a comparison here in this blog, I am watching all of the times personally... but Monday evening with all of you guys.

Here's yesterday's GFS afternoon run for Monday.

Here is Thursday's for the same time.

Only a slight change in between the two. We'll keep watching the data and comparing for the next few days. For those of you wondering how much snow could be possible. Let me say this... this sounds eerily familiar to my White Christmas Forecast... if tomorrow happened to be Monday and I saw what I was seeing... I wouldn't rule out 8"! BUT WE ARE STIILL A FEW DAYS AWAY FROM A FORECAST LIKE THAT! Be patient my friends!

C-Ya Bye

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