Does the set-up sound familiar? Last week we had a similar situation with showers and storms. Severe weather looked likely in the earlier runs of the data, but it looks like most will be held south of Kentucky now.
An area of low pressure with trailing cold front will be progressing across the country over the next couple of days. That low will begin to pull in more moisture from the Gulf Of Mexico and spread showers & isolated storms int our region. Expect non-thunderstorm related winds to begin picking up on Wednesday afternoon due to the overall storm's position. I don't expect widespread severe weather, but I do think that there will be a few storms that could be pretty strong or even severe for a little while. Again, it looks like the bulk of the severe weather will stay south of Kentucky.
Even with this image of the GFS you see that the bulk of the moisture stays south. WHat could happen here is... any storms that get going on Wednesday afternoon could swallow most of the moisture that could be coming towards the folks around here. Basically, we could have some "Moisture Robbers" located in the deep south. This is not a bad thing. As long as we see a little bit of rain I think we'll be fine. The last thing we want is more severe weather... but keeping some rain around will also keep us out of the drought status.
Once this front passes through it will continue to have an influence on our weather pattern. The winds will stay blustery and cold air invades. Our high for Thursday will occur early in the morning and then fall through the day. Those afternoon readings will be in the low 30s or upper 20s with winds whipping around between 20 & 30mph. This combination could lead to wind chill readings in the teens! Plus snow could be flying around to top it all off. I don't think that accumulation will be significant, but it will be possible. I agree with this image below.
Another chance looks to greet us for the weekend. On Saturday a clipper will dip into Kentucky and bring some moisture through the region again. So far this clipper looks pretty strong. I look for it to weaken any day now... but it hasn't so far. If it keeps it up we could see a coupe of inches for the weekend. But that, my friends, will be a bigger topic on Wednesday night!