Time To Get Back On That Horse & Ride

Thank you for your comments... I really do appreciate those! With this big storm possibly coming our way I knew it was time to get back online!

If you have watched any source for weather information here lately... I know you are confused! Will we see 10"? Will we see 15"?  We will see 2"? All very good questions and these are questions that I will be addressing here right now!

Some recent runs of the EURO suggested that we'll see some much warmer temps try to filter into Kentucky and that could keep any and all moisture on the side of rain for most of the duration. The WRF keeps temperatures cold enough for mainly snow. GFS keeps temps cold enough for snow.

Model temps:

  • WRF Cold enough for mainly snow
  • GFS Cold enough for mainly snow
  • EURO pushes milder air in and would keep it mainly rain

These are just a few that I have looked at and really stood out. However, temperatures don't mean a thing if you moisture stays somewhere else. This is where the track makes things even more confusing.

In this GFS snap shot... you see the low over Georgia and South Carolina.

NAM has a slower track of the low, but it is still moving along the same path. It's just a few hundred miles behind. It has also cut back on some of the moisture that it had spread over Kentucky from previous runs.


GFS Run Above

WRF... if you notice both are trending very close to each other here with these latest runs.

My best bet os to go with a good swath of 4-6"  for the highest amounts and generally 1-3" for many other locations. It's trying to pin point where the heaviest band of snow will set-up that has me going crazy here.

I'll have more updates later!

C-Ya Bye

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