Cold Is Here Now For Some Snow

The cold arrived on a wet & windy note here in eastern Kentucky. When I went to bed it still felt nice outside. When I got up it was a completely different story.

I didn't get a chnce to post anything last night due to my schedule. I had the wonderful opportunity to visit with some friends over in Cumberland for the annual telethon they have over there. I had a blast and hope they raise enough money to meet their goals!

The forecast is a changing faster than I care to admit. We have kep Friday dry all week long and it still looks that way. It should actually feature some sunshine from time-to time. It will just stay plain old cold!

I have mentioned Saturday's system over the last couple of das and in each thought I always said we'll at least keep the chance alive thanks to the proximity to our area. It's a good thing I went with my gut on this one because we might see some light snow accumulations here in the region. The closer you live to the KY/VA border the better your chances will be! The data is beginning to come around and the runs are looking very similar. Let's break it all down... again!

          GFS Sat AM - Surface            GFS Sat AM - Precip Type               WRF AM -Surface                    WRF Sat AM - Precip Type

I thought I would spice this up and show you both the surafce features and how the model converts some of that info into the precip type data that I show you from time to time. I'll also be including a accumulation forecast here too... so If you can't wait just go a head and have yourself a little look! If you campre thse two runs you can obviously see that the GFS is really pushing the moisture into Kentucky while the WRF is keeping it very close to the border. This is one of the reason I have mentioned the KY/VA border in particular. Both runs have at least that in common. This will likely be the trageted spot for the most activity!

      WRF Sat PM - Surface             WRF Sat PM - Precip Type           GFS Sat PM Surface                 GFS Sat PM - Precip Type


The snow sticks around through the afternoon hours. It will then begin to wrap up completely. There will be a very fine line for people who see the snow and the ones that do not. You could literally go 1 mile down the road and run into the snow and never see anything all day at you house.

As for the accumulation forecast... it will be greater in the highest elevations. But some ouf us could see a little as well.

                        WRF Snowfall Forecast                                                         GFS Snowfall Forecast

I'll put my own forecast together tomorrow... I just want to make sure the data has one more good run and then I'll throw up my totals!

Highs all weekend long will remain in the 30s with lows only in the 20s. It will be a very cold period this weekend!

C-Ya Bye

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  • by Derek Location: Evarts-Harlan County on Dec 4, 2009 at 02:55 PM
    OMG Im so psyched Jim even though it is a measly 1-3 inches, it is snow. Ill try and send some pics from the mountain tops if I can. I am expecting a pretty good dump on the mountain tops. It is minutes from your six o clock forecast and good luck on this one. Is there still a chance this low could shift a bit more westward? That would be sweet!!!!!!!!!!!! LET IT SNOW!!!!!


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