It;s not like it is a huge surprise for this time of year. We all know that temps can't stay too warm fro long periods of time without some kind of a cold round that takes them out of play. Let me also say this... IF there comes a time when it stays 70 degrees all through the winter months then we have a problem. Fortunately, I don't see that happening at all... period! Now I have lost my train of thought...lol
I hate using Sir Isaac Newton's, "What goes up, must come down," but when it works-it works! This is the story of our temperatures and that's what we'll see here very soon. These nice and warm daytime highs in the mid & upper 60s will fall back down into the 30s and 40s. So don't go out and buy your children a kiddie pool or new swimwear for Christmas (unless you find it on sale and feel like it is a great deal) I would love to say get a sleigh ready, but should I dare say that?!?! hmmm..... we'll review!
What you are looking at here is the surface map that I built for the newscasts. The model data we are using here is the RPM Model. and is a little more aggressive with the rain chances. The others had this system splitting up and leaving KY completely dry. Even this model is throwing less moisture into Kentucky in the latest runs. I'll keep a 20% chance of rain alive for know!
Once that front clears the area we'll see the temps take a small hit! This won't be one of those slobber-knockers that freeze you instantly when you walk outside. This will be more like a good smooth transition down to the 40s.
RPM 12am Tuesday RPM 3pm Tuesday
The midnight data shows our region in the 50s while the 3pm is only in the 30s and 40s. What's wrong with this picture? These two images should be flip-flopped and those highs in the afternoon and those cooler temperatures at night. The real point here is that we'll be warmer at midnight than we will be at 3pm. Once the cold air arrives we won't have anymore strange looking temps set-ups during this forecast.
After the cold air settles back into Kentucky and we have felt winter again, why not add some more moisture to the mix? We could throw some back into the region this weekend. There could be a system hanging out awfully close!
GFS Fri Night GFS Sat AM
The GFS has pretty decent looking loe just passing us by to the south. The real questions is whether or not it will stay that far south. Right now... I am just going back and forth with what will happen! It will have the cold... but will this big moisture push get here? More details coming!