I am mainly going to talk about the weekend events because the rest of the week will stay very calm. Here's a quick rundown of what happens leading up to the weekend. The cold air that plowed across Kentucky sits right in place. Highs through Friday will stick very close to the 40 degree mark and lows will be in the upper 20s and low 30s. Other than the chill... it stays calm. The fireworks begin on Saturday. This is also what keeps me on edge as well.
In my last post I started talking about how we had some junk form the southeast and the northwest that could impact our weather pattern and maybe even lay some accumulation. If the southern system comes closer we'll have an enhanced chance for impressive accumulations. This is still up in the air right now and that's the way I like it because that keeps me on my toes.
GFS Fri Night Canadian Fri Night
There are tiw very big differences between the latest runs of the GFS and the Canadian. The position of the low and the lack of moisture arriving from the northwest. We'll have a few pieces of energy roll into Kentucky form the NW. So if the bigger system stays out to sea... we'll still have chances for snowfall in the area. There is some real difference in the runs of the GFS from yesterday and today. It is making the turn back to the north which brings us closer to the line of fire for the stroner system. If that trend continues we could be on the side that will prmise more snow than the weaker disturbances.
GFS Sat AM Canadian Sat AM
The Canadian is still slow getting away from Florida. While the GFS has already made it up to the coast off of the Carolinas. This path is much closer to the coast than it was yesterday. This is pretty common to see the jog back and forth. I am waiting for that stick.
It all depends on whether or not the two jet streams can merge and set the system rolling up the coast. If it stays split then it will guide the system on out to sea and keep our chances way down from the bigger system. However, I am sticking with the GFS with the weak disturbances that could lay some snowfall whether or not the big one turns the corner.
I'll continue to watch it and update you right here!