Here Comes The Snow

As many of you know by now... several counties are under a Winter Storm Watch. The accumulation forecast may be a little hard to take!

There are still several possibilities that could come into play that would either push these totals higher or cut them back some. I feel pretty confident in saying that totals will be pretty high for many in the region. If you have been reading this blog very long... you know I am a fan of snow! Huge fan!!! With so many things going on this weekend and folks travelling... I really hate this one! Plus... this will be one of those heavy wet snows. Those are the systems that can bring down the powerlines. Not what you want this close to the holidays!

I am not going to waste time dissecting each model image... I will include what some of them are saying for snowfall accumulations, but not the SLP , QPF and all that jazz!

                                                                           WRF Thru Sun AM

                                                                                GFS Thru Sun AM

There's one thing to reall take away from these graphics... Virgnia is going to get hammered! Both are similar and different all at the same time. These runs have gotten progressively worse all week. Each time the data has continues to push the snow back into eastern Kentucky. Finally, the data is looking a lot alike... as far as track is concerned. Not only do I look at images like these, but you have to come up with your own numbers based on other data. How much moisture will be avaiable? How long will it rain? Will it be a clean change over? Many more questions like that have to be answered before I can really make a call! I made my first call based on data like this and all of the other things I mentioned.

When this system gets going here is how it should breakdwon.

  • Rain arrives during the afternoon hours - ALL RAIN
  • Rain & snow begin mixing 7pm-9pm
  • ALL SNOW By 11pm

Now to repost my call on snowfall!

That 10" + region is mainly for the highest elevations of eastern Kentucky. If I see this changing I will update it as soon as I make the connection! Stay safe!

C-Ya Bye

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