This is truly the first tiime that I have been around my computer or any computer longer than 5 minutes. I have looked over data, but didn't have time for a post. You know how the holidays are and how you are stretched from one place to the other. That's what happened to me!
The data earlier this week indicated a beast was on the way. As usual... that's the early goings and things change with the data. You have to know the data and the flaws that all of it has. I knew it would take a few days before it all got straightened out and now that's where we are.
GFS Very Early Thursday
Early on Thursday morning you see the rain snow mis developing over eastern KY. This will happen early and then some warmer temperatures sweep in during the day and keep everything rain. That should last through the day on New Year's Eve.
GFS Early New Year's Day WRF Early New Year's Day
Notice anything different here? Of course you do! The GFS has all kinds of snow showing up while the WRF is down playing it quite a bit! I am going with a blend of each of these. I do think we'll have snow around, but not anything significant. I am talking about a big snow. Sure we could see some light accumulations and that can cause enough problems as it is, but the heavy stuff shouldn't be an issue.
GFS Snow WRF Snow
Obviously, it isn't looking like much in the way of accumulation! Those light accumulations will make it pretty sluck so be careful!
The snow will taper off in the afternoon hours and then the cold settles in for the folks of Kentucky.
Overnight now get blasted down into the 10-15 degree range early Sunday morning. You factor in the slightest breeze and you have yourself some bitterly cold temps!
Again, if I see any realt potential for anything else I will get one here and post! If I am not posting and you are hearing rumors of big snows and all that jazz... if you don't see a post... then don't worry!