The light powdery snow has been falling since Sunday night in most locations. This isn't the end my friends... not by a long shot! We have to remember that the true winter season isn't even a month old yet! We still have plenty of time for more snow and some serious cold!
The snow is wrapping up from the first round this week. The knockout punch will be delivered near the end of the week. That's when we'll have another decent round coming sailing across Kentucky. At this point... it looks like it will be a quick hit of the main energy and that will be follwed up by more snow on the back side. The back side will be rough! Not only rough... it could be brutal! I'm not even talking about the snow... I am talking about the wind that will follow this system. That same wind will drive moisture into Kentucky through most of the weekend. Meaning that our version of the lake effect snow machine will be cranked up!
Snow will begin to taper off on Wednesday. It looks like there could be a window where we only see flurries coming down and then nothing at all! It will be brief! The action picks up again soon after the last few flakes fall on Wednesday.
WRF Thursday Afternoon GFS Thursday Afternoon
The GFS is still favoring the early arrival time. Unlike its handling of the southern systems, where it will trend far south at first and then work the storms northwestward... it has actually stayed close to this since I began watching it a few days ago. The WRF is still laggin behind with the moisture and isn't quite as intense... again!
WRF Thursday Evening GFS Thursday Evening
The WRF is trying to run out of moisture as the main energy is moving across Kentucky. The GFS keeps some of the heavier bands of snow going! Keep in mind that the main energy will be in and out of the commonwealth rather quickly.
WRF Early Friday Morning GFS Early Friday Morning
Even on the back side of this system we're seeing even more disagreement. It will be quite a bit windier though and both are showing that! That's where the good old wind chills could drop like a rock! 0 to -5 will be easily reached... especially... with lows in the single digits!
Here's my first call on snowfall
The key word in the title is NEW... this will lay on what some of us have already! The other words that I didn't have room for are FIRST CALL!
More details coming soon!