This system has been a beast to forecast and an even harder one to keep up with. I brought in a timeline for you in one of the earlier posts and believe it or not... it was dead on... sort of! The snow started right on cue early Thursday morning. What kept it from making its way to the ground was the dry air that we had in place. Any snow that was falling that early was just moistening up the atmosphere. Think of it like eating a carton of ice cream. You eat on it for a couple of days before you get to the bottom. The snow falling over our heads was just eating up the dry air until it found the ground. Once it started.... it really poured!
I had banked on the moistening time to be a little shorter. That banking mistake has me asking for a refund from the bank of Mother Nature. Luckily, I caught it early enough to cut the totals back by an inch or so in most locations. The back side of this system will be our next best bet! That's where we could see extended periods of heavy snow or just downright whiteout conditions because of the wind.
I am really bad to focus on the worst and the that means I focus more on the higher numbers than the smaller in each estimation. Remember, if you are in the 3"-6" area you could see anywhere from 3" up to 6" with this system. Keep that in mind when you start measuring your totals.
What may become an even bigger problem for all of us could be the cold temps. This is truly an Arctic blast and that means that those wonderful upper 20s and low 30s we had on Thursday will become a fine "Mild" memory. Until next week at least...lol
When the winds begin picking up early Friday morning it will have an impact on the temps. Wind chill readings could really dip pretty low. The image below is from the RM model and it show some pretty stiff cold!
Another way you can keep up with the cold is through this.
We are looking at the Wind Chills/Feels Like temps. This map will automatically update as the changes occur.