The fireworks could get going on Thursday... early Thursday. The timing of the next scene changer will be around Wednesday night into early Thursday. We could see some showers and storms in our area. We aren't in the risk area just yet, but that could change at any moment. I'll put up a live image to keep you updated. That may mean this intro will be come dated fast. Just keep watching this image to see what's happening with the severe weather chances.
I do think that when this front actually dives into KY that we'll have a chance for some showers & storms to fire up. My thinking has me leaning toward at least an isolated threat for severe weather during the early part of Thursday. Hopefully, this will only be a rain maker and help firefighters in the battle against the forest fires.
We are dry, but not as dry as e have been in the past. I know many of you are probably thinking that is hard to believe with the wet winter that we had. The catch with that is the snow didn't equal out to a lot of water in some cases. Here's where we stand as far as a rainfall deficit is concerned.
If we just keep the rain and not the strong or severe weather part together... I hope it ends up being e a very handsome drink of water.
WRF Very Early Thursday WRF Thursday Morning
GFS Very Early Thursday GFS Thursday Morning
The GFS is just a little slower with the arrival of this system. Either way I think that bot are on the right track as far as timing is concerned. Once this gets going it will probably arrive sometime after midnight on Thursday morning.
GFS Rainfall forecast WRF Rainfall forecast
The WRF is a little more friendly to our area, but still not quite enough. Especially, when you consider that this is the only rain chance that I have in my entire 7-Day. It stays pretty calm after Thursday.
Temps are going to swing baby swing! Highs on Wednesday will be around 80... Thursday only around 65... Friday in the 50s. Lows on Friday morning and Saturday morning will probably drop off into the 30s.
I'll have more on Thursday.