The rain is something I know that I have really wanted to see come our way. Now, it looks like we are going to see chances for it and perhaps in some cases plenty of it! Here's what the U.S. Drought Monitor looks like. I'm only looking at this right now because of forest fire issues. I am not concerned about water supplies getting low or anything like that.
Things are fine around here... only some of our areas are even considered "Abnormally Dry"
With the wet spell coming our way... the dryness will be something we'll have to worry less about for a little while. The wet run will come in waves.
Early on Friday morning, we'll see moisture begin to lift into the area. This round will generally be on the light side.
WRF Fri AM WRF Fri PM
GFS Fri AM GFS Fri PM
You see here that the first wave is pretty light. Notice by the afternoon image it is clearing our area. There should be a lull in the action and it will then pick up again.
The next wave will roll in here for Saturday mid-morning to Saturday afternoon. Some of that could have interesting characteristics like a stray thunderstorm, but the real deal won't come until later in the day.
WRF Sat Afternoon WRF Sat Evening
GFS Sat Afternoon GFS Sat Evening
A lot of similar things going on here! General light rain during the mid-morning to afternoon and then both are hinting at the next wave. What I see is very close, but not close enough. Not that I expect that. What we'll all need to really prepare for is late Saturday evening and into Sunday morning. That's when the 3rd wave runs across KY. This will be the make it or break it timeframe. We'll have to watch very closely for severe weather close to this period.
Current Day Three Outlook
This is a live updating image that will show the latest outlooks, watches, and points of interest.
I'll have another full update on Friday!