The model data has been all over the place when considering this next round of storms for the weekend. The system itself hasn't been in question, but the rainfall amounts have gone back and forth.
It looks like it will be much worse out in western parts of Kentucky. That's where the heaviest rain has been most consistent on the model data. It looks like folks in those areas could see anywhere between 4"-7" of rain... all this weekend! Around here I think a good 2"-4" will be possible. Flooding will steal the headlines for the week if that much rain comes our way!
WRF Weekend Rainfall GFS Weekend Rainfall
The HPC's QPF looks like this.
AT any given time some of the storms that develop have potential to drop a large amount of rain in a hurry. That's where the true flash flood threat come into the equation. When you factor in the training of these cells... that's when you begin to have problems.
As far as the severe weather chances are concerned... I think that western parts of KY will have better chances to see the severe weather. That doesn't mean that we won't have our own chances around here because we will! Early parts of Saturday will feature isolated severe storms. The evening and overnight hours leading into Sunday and Sunday afternoon could be our time to shine.
Finally, the updated Derby Forecast. For years I have said that I am going to actually go to the Derby and not watch it on TV... just to say that I have been there. It's just one of those things that I want to do at least once. Something always pops up and I end up not going... once again... I am not going! The rain is the factor and it is one I don't want to deal with... so one of these days I will get there.
C-Ya Bye
Posted: 8:59 AM - A day after laying out his counterterrorism vision, President Barack Obama is addressing future military leaders who could help carry it out in a speech to U.S. Naval Academy graduates.
Posted: 8:57 AM - Police say a central Kentucky man who was killed after being hit by a train was standing on the tracks when he was struck.
Posted: 7:22 AM - A new video about Kentucky is drawing hits on YouTube.
Posted: 7:02 AM - A top North Korean envoy has delivered a letter from leader Kim Jong Un to Chinese President Xi Jinping.
Updated: 7:03 AM - Drivers will be hitting the roads in full force this weekend for Memorial Day which also means that the potential for accidents will increase.
Posted: 6:42 AM - A powerful earthquake in Russia's Far East sent out tremors that were felt for thousands of miles.
Posted: 6:41 AM - Craft breweries from around the country are teaming up to raise money for military families by selling a beer aged on baseball bats.
Updated: 8:13 AM - Officials in Washington state say three people have been taken to the hospital after a bridge north of Seattle collapsed Thursday, dumping their vehicles into the water.
Posted: 6:13 AM - Kentucky's Transportation Cabinet and a Laurel County resident have been recognized for their efforts to restore rather than replace a landmark bridge.
Posted: 6:12 AM - Using the state's Kentucky Proud logo to indicate Kentucky-bred thoroughbreds in racetrack programs may soon become a permanent fixture.
