Eastern Kentucky Weather

Holiday Weekend, Hurricane Forecast, and So Long Milam

For many of you it will be a three day weekend that will include a time of reflection... a time of remembrance... and a time for family. The weather can be our worst enemy during times like these... probably not this weekend!

There will be a daily threat of scattered showers & storms. This will especially happen during the afternoon hours. The overall weather picture looks fine and that means we'll just have to avoid those scattered storms. It will stay pretty warm with highs in the 80s.

The officials from the NHC released their official Hurricane forecast for the Atlantic. As we all know these impact us in so many ways... whether it's families lives, economically, or a new threat... spreading the oil spill. Here are the numbers from the NHC.

What would happen if a hurricane churns into the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico? Not much to the hurricane, according to federal scientists. Coastal areas nearby, however, could see oil driven on shore. Here’s a Q&A the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration issued today to answer frequently asked questions:

What will happen to a hurricane that runs through this oil slick?

Most hurricanes span an enormous area, 200 to 300 miles, which is far wider than the current size of the spill.

If the slick remains small, compared to a typical hurricane, the impact on the hurricane should be minimal.

Neither the intensity or track of a fully developed tropical storm or hurricane would be appreciably affected.

Additionally, the oil slick would do little to reduce storm surge or near-shore wave heights.

What will the hurricane do to the oil slick?

The high winds and seas will mix and help accelerate the biodegradation process.

The high winds may distribute oil over a wider area, but it is difficult to say exactly where the oil may be transported.

Movement of oil would depend greatly on the track of the hurricane.

Storm surges may push oil into the coastline and inland areas. Storm debris may be contaminated by the oil spill as well as other sources of oil.

Because a hurricane’s winds rotate counter-clockwise, in general terms, a hurricane passing to the west of the slick could drive oil to the coast. A hurricane passing to the east of the slick could drive the oil away from the coast.

Will there be oil in the rain related to a hurricane?

No. Hurricanes draw water vapor from a large area, much larger than the area covered by oil, and rain is produced in clouds circulating the hurricane.

Will the oil slick help or hurt a storm from developing in the Gulf?

It’s not likely to have a significant impact on an emerging system, and here’s why:

In theory, an oil slick could suppress water evaporation, which fuels tropical storms. With less evaporation, you might assume there would be less moisture available to nurture a hurricane.

However, except for immediately near the source, the slick is very patchy.

At moderate wind speeds, such as those found in tropical storms and hurricanes, a thin layer of oil – as is found in the current slick – would likely break into pools on the surface or mix as drops in the upper layers of the ocean.

This would allow much of the water to remain in touch with the overlying air and greatly reduce any effect the oil may have on evaporation.

Will the hurricane pull up the oil that is below the surface of the Gulf?

All of the sampling to date shows that except near the leaking well, the subsurface dispersed oil is in parts per million levels or less. The hurricane will mix the waters of the Gulf and disperse the oil even further.

Finally, we had to say goodbye to one of my good friends here at the station, Brian Milam. He was here when I first started and was really one of the first people to give me the insider's knowledge. I was just a kid when I started and this job was pretty overwhelming for an 18 year old college student, but with his help it all flowed a little better. As a matter of fact... there was a point very early on when I thought I needed to quit so I could be home more because of the love life... remember I WAS A KID...LOL After a pretty disturbing phone conversation with my lady friend at that time I was ready to hang it up. He grabbed me and took me outside and we just talked. He told me that it wasn't worth throwing a bright future away for. He said that it was "puppy love" and to stay right here. He was right and I didn't throw away this great opportunity to do what I love. Thanks to you my old friend. You are gone... but not far enough away to keep me from knocking on your door at 5am...lol... good luck at WKYT.

Here we are right after his final 6pm newscast

Have a great weekend everyone!

C-Ya Bye

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