Dreaming of a White Christmas? Keep Dreaming :-(

After looking over data these past few days it looks as if our dreams of a White Christmas are just that!

It has been a back and forth battle these last couple days debating on whether we'll see any snow at all on Christmas. I have just about ruled out even a few flakes!

Sad... I know!

NAM Christmas Day

This is as close as the moisture gets on Sunday with the NAM.

GFS Christmas Day

The GFS is a little more agressive with the moisture... but again... this is as close as it gets!

So far December has been one big disappointment when you compare it to the last couple of years. By now we had already seen anywhere between 10" and 16" and we certainly weren't wearing shorts and short sleeved shirts.

Look at these temps over the last 4 years. The temps you are seeing are the mean temp for each month. The average daily temp.

This year has obviously been a warm one!

As far as snow is concerned... this December is struggling!

These totals are for how much snow fell and not how much was on the ground at the same time. This year is pretty much non-existant! Sure there are a few more days in the month... but I really don't seen anything that would get us anywhere close to what we saw these past two winters. If we are lucky something materializes next week and we could be close to 2008. BUT THAT'S A STRETCH!!!!!

I also got a hold of some new long range data from the CPC that might put a hurting on my winter forecast.

This basically indicates temps are going to be much warmer over the next 3 months.

It will be wet though... just not wet with snow!

I am not thinking we'll go through winter completely untouched by Mother Natures magical flakes... I'm just saying that it might not be a terrible winter from beginning to end. This is just some data to take into consideration. I am not changing my overall winter forecast just yet. I am simply reviewing any data that I see and keeping it in mind!

C-Ya Bye

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Comments are posted from viewers like you and do not always reflect the views of this station.
  • by Its starting to snow! Location: E. Ky on Jan 2, 2012 at 08:01 AM
    Where are you Jim? We need you back on the blogs! We need your expertise on the snow situation! Tell us what you think about it. You know better than anybody about snow!
  • by snow ball Location: tram ky on Jan 2, 2012 at 07:38 AM
    i take it that it's not going to be much of a snow or you would give us you input...right jim!!!
  • by Anonymous on Jan 2, 2012 at 06:44 AM
    did u guys ever stop to think that Jim may be sick or have something very important going on in his life right now. We never know what's going in someone else's life...be patient, Im sure Jimmy will be on this snow storm as soon as he can, in the mean time continue to check other weather stations....geez, give him a break!!!
    • reply
      by Its starting to snow on Jan 2, 2012 at 11:27 AM in reply to
      In no way am I intending to seem rude. I do hope Jim is okay. But you have to admit he is the most accurate weather guy out there. And I do check other weather stations, but don't think they are as reliable as him. I think we are all just missing his enthusiasm for the snow, and therefore are worried about him because he isn't blogging.......... Hope you are okay, Jim! Some of us are simply wanting to let you know that your work is of great value to your viewers and we appreciate what you do.
  • by Snow Lover Location: S. E. Ky on Jan 1, 2012 at 07:46 PM
    Gee Jim, I hope you are okay. You are usually very excited to discuss a snow advisory. We really miss your opinion. Your predictions are always so accurate. Some of us are really missing your input right now. Hope this will be a big snow! Please come back to the blogs!
  • by Bgb Location: Louisa,Ky on Jan 1, 2012 at 07:27 PM
    Okay, so there is a snow storm coming tonight, and you have NO blog on it yet! Get with it! Chris Bailey is like all over it already!!!
  • by jon Location: evarts on Jan 1, 2012 at 05:16 PM
    when are you ever going to post on your blog again its been almost two weeks your my weather station but your ratings are going to go down you all wate to long to update your weather and blog whats going on and when do you see the first snow storm of the year?
  • by Sally on Dec 31, 2011 at 04:29 PM
    Hey Jim, what's going on with this approaching storm? Your buddy Bailey is watching it close and you haven't even blogged. Come on, get with it....I like to compare your predictions and you are taking all the fun out of the whole thing....Happy New Year, stranger!
  • by Hopeful Location: Pike on Dec 30, 2011 at 08:54 AM
    Jim, any accumulation with the flurries on Monday?
  • by Jay Location: Paintsville on Dec 29, 2011 at 09:54 AM
    Jim? When would you think we may see our first snow fall in Janruary. Just ruffly guessing? I see the temps are going to start falling soon.
  • by Curious Location: South East Ky on Dec 28, 2011 at 09:37 AM
    So I am curious about what the upcoming week is going to be like as far as the weather. We havent had a post on here in days. What's going on out there Jim? Any snow headed our way?
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