Flood Threat for Wednesday

Another round of heavy rain is likely Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, and may cause some high water problems across Eastern Kentucky.

Good Monday to you after a busy weekend of weather across southern and eastern Kentucky.  I have to hand it to mother nature, she never ceases to amaze in how fast she can make a perfectly good forecast wrong.  Warm air punched into our "winter storm" last night in the mid levels of the atmosphere, and it was just enough to ensure that most of the region did not get the snow we were predicting.  I said in a blog yesterday someone would be surprised and disappointed, I was both. 

No time to dwell on the past though, as we have another storm system taking aim at the region tomorrow night and Wednesday morning.  This system looks to be another mainly rain to snow event for our neck of the woods, and it could bring quite a bit of rain.  Our friends over at the National Weather Service in Jackson have already put most of the region under a flood watch.


It's for good reason as well.  Check out what our in house RPM computer model is showing for rainfall potential by Thursday morning.



Most of the area creeks and streams are already running a bit on the high side, so that much additional water in the system could definitely cause some problems.  Remember my friends, if you come across a flooded roadway to "Turn Around, Don't Drown."  Flooding is one of natures deadliest events and it takes less than 2 feet of running water to pick up most full size vehicles. 

Also I'm sure you've heard some buzz about another potential winter storm Sunday into Monday.  We're still too far out to get specific with it, but it is something I'm monitoring.  The latest run of the GFS would take it on a path that would be favorable for a decent snow around here, but that's still almost a week away and the models will change a lot between now and then.  


Let's get past this next storm first, and then worry about the one for next weekend.  Until next time, take care. 

-Shane Smith

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