Alright stop, grab a seat and listen... Shane is back with a brand new prediction. Frightening, is how the forecast is looking... a trip to Florida I'd rather be booking.
Okay enough of the Vanilla Ice parodies, in all seriousness the forecast is looking very nasty as we head into the end of the weekend and early next week. A very potent arctic air mass is set to dive into the Ohio Valley this weekend and will bring with it a mess of winter weather. It will start as rain on Sunday early in the day. Depending on exactly how the front moves in will determine when the change over to ice happens, but as of now it looks like it will be sometime either late Sunday night or early Monday morning. We then will see a change over to a light snow accumulation late Monday morning.
The devil is going to be in the details with the track and intensity of this storm, and frankly it's something we won't have a very solid idea about till the storm is on our doorstep. The usual 50 mile will have a big impact rule applies here like so many times this winter. Here's a couple of possibilities from the NAM and GFS models:
NAM Freezing Rain:
GFS Freezing Rain:
In this situation we want either plain rain or sleet. Freezing rain is no good, and if we're to get snow it could be potentially a lot. How much of what we see all depends on the track of the storm. The farther north it goes, the more rain and freezing rain we see. The farther south it goes ups our chances of sleet or snow.
The thing to remember is a quarter inch of freezing rain will cause a lot of power and travel problems . A half inch or more of freezing rain can be a crippling ice storm. We will be keeping a very, very close eye on this storm this weekend. Please check back with us several times to see how the situation is developing.