No Break From Mother Nature

Just as one system pulls out of the region... another is set to develop and bring more wintry weather. This one won't be as cut and dry as this last one. We'll get every wintry flavowith this round.

Once again... thank you so much for your totals. Next time we'll use this format so I can copy and past them for all to see. Here is my own personal example.

Name: Jim

Location: Hazard/Perry County

Snowfall Amount: 8" at the station 10" at my house

This format will be a lot easier for all of us to use. Plus you'll all get full credit. If you want to learn how to get accurate snowfall measurements... the NWS has a helpful link. How to Accurately Measure Snowfall

Here are snowfall totals as of 7pm Monday.

***********************SNOWFALL REPORTS***********************

 INCHES  LOCATION                 ST  COUNTY           TIME
 ------  -----------------------  --  --------------   -------
 12      2 W BEATTYVILLE          KY  LEE              1045 AM
 12      CALVIN                   KY  BELL             1121 AM
 12      THOUSANDSTICKS           KY  LESLIE           1000 AM
 10      2 N HEIDELBERG           KY  LEE              0700 AM
 10      2 SW PINEVILLE           KY  BELL             0900 AM
 10      2 W BEATTYVILLE          KY  LEE              0830 AM
 10      PINE KNOT                KY  MCCREARY         0824 AM
  9      WALLINS CREEK            KY  HARLAN           1150 AM
  9      SMILAX                   KY  LESLIE           0946 AM
  8      HAZARD WATER PLANT       KY  PERRY            0700 AM
  8      HYDEN                    KY  LESLIE           0603 AM
  8      2 ESE TALBERT            KY  BREATHITT        0730 AM
  8      FONDE                    KY  BELL             0130 PM
  8      HINDMAN                  KY  KNOTT            0556 PM
  7      KINGDOM COME S.P.        KY  HARLAN           0700 AM
  7      WHITESBURG               KY  LETCHER          0800 AM
  7      7 NE WHITESBURG          KY  LETCHER          1200 PM
  7      2 SE WHITESBURG          KY  LETCHER          0700 AM
  7      HAZARD                   KY  PERRY            1112 AM
  7      BEATTYVILLE              KY  LEE              0709 AM
  7      1 N IRVINE               KY  ESTILL           0800 AM
  7      JETTS CREEK              KY  BREATHITT        0800 AM
  6      1 SE BOONEVILLE          KY  OWSLEY           0700 AM
  6      SKYLINE                  KY  LETCHER          0700 AM
  6      BUNCH                    KY  LAUREL           0700 AM
  6      BUCKHORN                 KY  PERRY            0641 AM
  5      2 S STEARNS              KY  MCCREARY         0600 AM
  5      MONTICELLO               KY  WAYNE            0700 AM
  5      1 S HARLAN               KY  HARLAN           0700 AM
  5      1 WNW CLAY CITY          KY  POWELL           0700 AM
  5      CARR CREEK               KY  KNOTT            0700 AM
  5      2 NNW DICE               KY  PERRY            0916 AM
  5      5 E SALYERSVILLE         KY  MAGOFFIN         0709 AM
  5      FERGUSON                 KY  PULASKI          0700 AM
  5      CAMPTON                  KY  WOLFE            0650 AM
  5      1 N JACKSON              KY  BREATHITT        1000 AM
  5      CLAY CITY                KY  POWELL           0314 PM
  5      5 W BEE LICK             KY  PULASKI          0845 AM
  4      1 NW WILLIAMSBURG        KY  WHITLEY          0700 AM
  4      WELLINGTON               KY  MENIFEE          0700 AM
  4      2 N SOMERSET             KY  PULASKI          0700 AM
  4      SLADE                    KY  POWELL           0700 AM
  4      ROGERS                   KY  WOLFE            0600 AM
  4      MOUNT VERNON             KY  ROCKCASTLE       0800 AM
  4      CRESSY                   KY  ESTILL           0800 AM
  4      BARBOURVILLE             KY  KNOX             0700 AM
  4      3 WNW WEST LIBERTY       KY  MORGAN           1200 PM
  4      11 NW WEST LIBERTY       KY  MORGAN           0700 AM
  4      INEZ                     KY  MARTIN           1105 AM
  4      2 W MOUTHCARD            KY  PIKE             0709 AM
  4      STANTON                  KY  POWELL           0614 AM
  4      LONDON                   KY  LAUREL           0600 AM
  4      3 WSW PRESTONSBURG       KY  FLOYD            0600 AM
  4      2 N PRESTONSBURG         KY  FLOYD            0521 PM
  3      1 E PAINTSVILLE          KY  JOHNSON          0700 AM
  3      WEST LIBERTY             KY  MORGAN           0621 AM
  3      OWINGSVILLE              KY  BATH             0618 AM
  3      CORBIN                   KY  WHITLEY          0600 AM
  2      EZEL                     KY  MORGAN           0700 AM
  2      GIMLET                   KY  ELLIOT           0800 AM
  2      HILLSBORO                KY  FLEMING          0800 AM
  2      RELIEF                   KY  MORGAN           0700 AM

Impressive to say the very least! For locations other than higher elevations to see these snowfall amounts it just blows my mind. The intensity of this round of snow was amazing. I'm still waiting on the higher elevations like Black or Pine Mountain. I'm sure it is a royal mess up there!

Speaking of a royal mess... this next system looks to be just that! More like a royal pain if I do say so myself. You have heard me talk about "Riding The Fence" before. That's where we'll be on Wednesday-Thursday. When we ride the fence it means we'll more than likely experience everything Mother Nature has to offer. A taste of rain, a pinch of snow, and too much freezing rain. The radar will show every single color it has in the database. Determining where the line of freezing rain is my #1 concern.

Here are what the models are showing for precip type and timing.

GFS Weds Mid Morning                      GFS Weds At 10pm

GFS Thursday At 1am                             GFS Thursday Afternoon

According to the GFS... we'll go through an extended period of snow beginning before noon on Wednesday and lasting to around midnight. That's when the warmer air comes into play and allows for a layer in the atmosphere to melt anything falling just over our heads. When this melts it fall onto very cold surfaces and freezes upon contact and making a layer of ice. This lasts up until the afternoon hours on Thursday. This is just the GFS general rundown.

Here's the NAM

NAM Wednesday Afternoon                       NAM Thursday at 1am

NAM Thursday at 4am                              NAM Thursday at 7am

With the NAM you see the chnage from snow to freezing rain to rain comes earlier in the day. I'd much rather deal with a couple more inches of snow than all of this ice business. Here is an image that I put together highlighting what each area will see the most of on Thursday. This is an early look and just like a snowfall forecast.... it will need tweaking this week.

I will update this map as new data is released. This is just to get the general idea out there for you folks!

I'll update again on Tuesday!

C-Ya Bye


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