Eastern Kentuckys latest round of snow moved in between 5-8 a.m. Saturday morning. A band of moderate to heavy snow developed through the heart of our viewing area and progressed southeastward. This is how the snow band looked on PinPoint Radar and what was falling outside our studios in Hazard, KY.
By 1:00 p.m. much of the snow had moved southeastward into Virginia. Several minor accidents were reported across the area but 911 dispatch tells me people are taking the weather advisories seriously and staying off the roadways so they are not getting as many accident reports with this event. A few snow showers are persisting into the afternoon, but drier conditions and sunshine are on the way to end out the weekend. Our snow forecast turned out well with snow totals between 2-4" in the Bluegrass around Lexington and 1-3" across eastern Kentucky. Only one report so far exceeds 3" in eastern Kentucky. Here is the breakdown from the NWS in Jackson for the eastern Coalfields:
INCHES LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME ------ ----------------------- -- -------------- ------- 4.70 2 WNW BEATTYVILLE KY LEE 1200 PM 3.00 WHITLEY CITY KY MCCREARY 1218 PM 3.00 CLEAR CREEK SPRINGS KY BELL 1200 PM 3.00 LONDON KY LAUREL 1147 AM 3.00 ISLAND CITY KY OWSLEY 1147 AM 2.50 DWARF KY PERRY 1230 PM 2.50 5 NNW HARLAN KY HARLAN 1230 PM 2.50 HEIDRICK KY KNOX 1218 PM 2.50 3 NW LONDON KY LAUREL 1209 PM 2.50 COLDIRON KY HARLAN 1044 AM 2.50 5 S BEE LICK KY PULASKI 0920 AM 2.40 PRESTONSBURG KY FLOYD 1200 PM 2.40 TALBERT KY BREATHITT 1144 AM 2.00 4 E FRENCHBURG KY MENIFEE 0131 PM 2.00 LEBURN KY KNOTT 1230 PM 2.00 BOONEVILLE KY OWSLEY 1044 AM 1.50 ALVIN KY FLOYD 0131 PM 1.50 NED KY BREATHITT 1230 PM 1.50 HALLIE KY LETCHER 1230 PM 1.50 VIPER KY PERRY 1230 PM 1.50 2 E HAZARD KY PERRY 1230 PM 1.50 NED KY BREATHITT 1015 AM 1.40 IDA MAY KY LEE 0920 AM 1.10 DWARF KY PERRY 1015 AM 1.00 HUDDY KY PIKE 1230 PM 1.00 3 N MARROWBONE KY PIKE 1230 PM 1.00 AUXIER KY FLOYD 1230 PM 1.00 PIKEVILLE KY PIKE 1230 PM 1.00 CARCASSONNE KY LETCHER 1230 PM 1.00 INEZ KY MARTIN 1230 PM 1.00 HAGERHILL KY JOHNSON 1030 AM 1.00 PAINTSVILLE KY JOHNSON 1030 AM 1.00 TOLIVER KY WOLFE 0930 AM
Our next chance of precipitation moves in early Monday morning with a mix of rain and snow showers. Precipitation amounts will be light and will move out by the afternoon. Tempeatures will plummet throughout the day as the next arctic air mass blasts into the region. Tuesday will be the coldest day of the week with highs only into the low to mid teens and lows approaching zero. I have attached a frame from one of our computer models (ECMWF - European Model) which shows low temperatures Tuesday morning ranging from a couple degrees above freezing in the Cumberland River Valley to -7°F in the Big Sandy River Valley.
Our low temperature forecast as of Saturday afternoon is zero. I am slightly tempted to knock the temperature down a degree or two into the negatives, but did not do so for two reasons. The first is clouds at night absorb the heat emitted from the ground into space, and emit it back to the surface keeping us slightly warmer. Also, light winds can mix down slightly warmer air from aloft. As we get closer, if clouds look to clear out faster or winds look to weaken, we may need to adjust this temperature down a degree or two.
Overall, once we drop below freezing on Sunday night, we will not get above 32°F again until at least Thursday. By then we start to deal with another storm system that could bring a slushy, wintry mix on Friday.
Bundle up and think warm thoughts! Hopefully this will help...
-- Meteorologist Brandon Orr