It will not feel like an icy winter storm is on the way with temperatures into the 50s to start the day Sunday. On and off light rain is expected to start around and after sunrise Sunday. Temperatures will crash in the late afternoon as cold air runs underneath a thick layer of warm air above the surface, allowing the rain to change over to freezing rain and sleet. This layer of warm air above the ground will eventually cool enough to change over to snow later Monday morning. This will cause significant impacts across the region, so we will break our counties down in various groups so you can see what is expected in your town.
We will start to the south. McCreary, Whitley, Bell, Knox, and Harlan are currently expected to receive 1-3" of snow with up to 0.2" of ice. This is enough to cause some power disruptions and very slick roadways. Just to the north in Pulaski, Laurel, and Clay Counties, slightly higher snow amounts of 2-4" is expected. The timing for the change over from rain to ice is between 11pm-2am for these areas.
Our next region includes Clay, Leslie, Perry, Knott, and Pike Counties with 2-4" of snow and sleet with local amounts slightly higher. 0.25"-0.5" of ice is also possible, which is expected to create some power outages and a messy morning commute.
The worst impacts are expected to be felt across areas of McKee to Breathitt, Floyd, Magoffin, Johnson, Martin, Lawrence, and Wolfe, including the Mountain Parkway. 3-6" of snow and sleet is expected with 0.25"-0.5" of freezing rain.
It might be a good idea to check the batteries in any flashlights and prepare to stay off the roadways on Monday as they are expected to become treacherous. Wind gusts to 30 mph are also possible on Monday, which may add to any power outages.
The slightest time change with the rain-to-ice and ice-to-snow transition lines will have big impacts on accumulations, so it will be important to stay updated with the latest forecast through the weekend as we monitor the trends.
-Meteorologist Brandon Orr