With one system giving us a glancing blow tonight and another expected to roll through on Thursday-Night and Friday... we are in a wintry pattern.
I visited the WYMT Whayne Supply Mountain Classic tonight (I always visit the hospitality room...LOL) and some one asked me, "Jim, I heard we were going to get 10" of snow," I was shocked! I know that I haven't said anything like that and as far as I can tell... no one else has either. Weather is just like everything else when it goes through the rumor mill. When referring to snow it always comes out deep! LOL
Energy is set to dive out of the northwest and enter KY over the next couple of days. I posted a first call earlier today and I have made some slight modifications since then for the Thurs PM-Sat Afternoon.
When Thursday's data starts coming in I will probably nail down more specific locations on the map.
The Sunday night-Wednesday system has all kind of potential. That's really all it is right now. I have noticed all kinds of national weather sources have picked up the storm and some have targeted KY with heavy snow. Let's give this a few more days before we jump on the band wagon. I'm not saying it isn't possibility... I'm just saying I'll cross that bridge when I see more data.
The GFS & EURO models both keep the first wave of this system south of the area on Sunday & Monday. That was originally the start time for the system. The energy picks back up Tuesday with another piece of energy. I think as we go through time the early part of this system will begin tracking back to the north hitting us with snow and not just cloud cover.
EURO Monday Morning Canadian Monday Morning GFS Monday Morning
The Canadian is very aggressive right out of the gate. EURO & GFS keep the bulk of the moisture south of the region in their latest runs. I expect to see a run towards the northwest in some of the later data. The GFS is notorious for running these systems way south and then rebounding late in the game. We'll see if that trend will hold this go around. Remember, this is just the first part of this system. The rest of the energy enters later in the week.