What a forecast! Daily shots of snow that will be able to lay a couple of inches and then disappear. It's going to take a while to get to some of the totals I expect, but many areas will get there. We all just have to be patient. This is a week long event and we have never expected all of it at one time. It's just a slow accumulator!
The snow will continue to fall through Thursday and eventually some of those early week projections will come to pass. 12am On WEDNESDAY - THURSDAY NIGHT Here's what I expect. This does not include snow from Tuesday evening.
As I mentioned in my post yesterday... I will begin dropping a day and only forecasting the remaining days. I'll do it again tomorrow so new snowfall totals will be a little less. Since the end of the event comes on Thursday The next forecast for snow will be lighter because I am losing a day each time. It doesn't mean I have downgraded the overall totals... it just includes less and less time.
What's the weekend look like now? That's the new question we have to start tackling. The next round gets into KY on Sunday and sticks around for a couple of days. It's still early for the next system, but we'll take a look at what it's looking like right now.
The next round has other potential... we might actually see rain, freezing rain, and snow! Just take your pick and it might just happen in your area. The models have been picking up on this system for a while now.
1am Sunday 4am Sunday 7am Sunday
The early runs are trying to put a period of snow and freezing rain in the area. I think it changes over to rain for a little while before making another change. It will be another to watch.
The cold air is also something we'll have to watch for during next week. Some big time cold is expected to invade the country and we could be right in on the mess. I'll begin updating you on this later in the week.
Let's respond to some comments.
Posted by: Alisha Location: Bledsoe, Ky
Jim I was wondering about the next system that is coming on Sunday. Will it be worse that this one?
Alisha... we still have a few days to get this one nailed down. But this one could throw different elements into the equation. We'll just watch it very closely over the next few days.
Posted by: Sandy Location: Burdine KY
Thanks Jim for keeping us up to the minute on the forecast, we have had more snow here than Montana where I used to live, Thanks again Sandysky
Sandy... I hope this pattern changes very soon! There is a hint that it will by later in the month. Thanks for stopping by!
Posted by: Autumn Location: Prestonsburg
Where is the snow? We have had steady precipitation all day but it is 38 degrees. I love snow in large amounts and feel disappointed.
Autumn... don't be disappointed! This system will be with us through Thursday and you'll have plenty of time to get a few inches.
Posted by: Joshua Location: Leslie
It's trying to pick up around here but from the way it looks like the weather channel is more accurate as of right now
Joshua... OUCH! LOL... it's coming. I know it is hard to believe, but there is plenty of moisture left out there.
Posted by: UK Fan Location: Harlan
Jim, according to this graphic, does the 3-6 inch areas include the cities of Middlesboro, Harlan, Whitesburg, and Pikeville or is the 3-6 inch area solidified only for the higher elevations? Thanks and Keep Up the Good Work!
UK Fan... 3"-6" is from midnight on Wednesday... Tuesday night... and lasts through the remainder of the week. That is really directed towards the higher elevations.
Posted by: Debbie Location: Hazard
As always Thanks for the heads up on the snow--is this the total for the whole storm or just thru Thursday--the totals you had for yesterday were higher
Debbie... I have to keep dropping a day. If I kept my original graphic up on Thursday folks would think that I meant 7"-10" could still be coming our way for the end of the week. The overall totals for the event will look more like the graphic you are referring to.
Posted by: Anonymous It's Tuesday morning and you are still giving the opposite forecast of everyone else, including the national weather service. You are giving higher amounts in the Southeast and everyone else is giving higher amounts in the North-Northeast. Don't you think it's about time you give it up and update your forecast??? I am not a meteorologist, but it doesn't take a genius to look at the radar and see the direction that the precipitation is moving. It is definitely not toward your 7-10" area. Go ahead and make another one of your famous "minor adjustments". This is panning out to look like your December winter storm warning when we got rain. We will probably get about an inch. You gave 1-3" yesterday and we got a dusting. The viewers deserve a more accurate forecast than this.
David... The upslope event and the quick blow-ups on the radar will give us enough snow to fit into that forecast. I'm very sorry that you feel like I have missed these forecasts. You can give me a call some time and we'll discuss the weather in your area in more detail. (606) 436-5757 Also... the National Weather Service issues Winter Storm Warnings... I have no control! That ice event you are referring to ranged from a tenth of an inch to three quarters of an inch. The 7"-10" was not issued area wide that is only for the highest elevations. Your area in southern KY should receive around 3"-6" by the time it wraps up.
Posted by: Linda Location: Hazard
I think you should just wait until it starts snowing and interrupt regular broadcasting to announce it is snowing. Maybe if Hazard and immediate surrounding areas were just concentrated on instead of practically the whole state, one could make sense of a forecast. I noticed Lexingtons nbc channel concentrates on Lex. and will comment on Hazard. But it seems WYMT does not have enough time to elaborate on Hazard, for focusing on the rest of the state. Sometimes it looks as though they do it as a diversion, because WYMT has no idea what the forecast is. That guy in the morning seems to talk about everyones weather but our region.
Linda... I 'm sorry if you feel like we have let you down. This forecasting business is touch and go sometimes. This has been a very active winter and we have fallen in the forecast range each time. That can changes from place to place though... so let me know how much snow you end up with after this storm ends. That way I can go back and figure out why there was a difference. It's all about research and I need your help!
I'll have another update out later!