Neil

New Senate polls: Big lead or dead heat

Two new polls show big differences in Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race between Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Jack Conway.

Two new polls show big differences in Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race between Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Jack Conway.

Rasmussen Reports

shows Paul with a solid 15-point lead with less than two months to go in the campaign. 

Election 2010: Kentucky Senate Race (Rasmussen Reports)

 

Rand Paul (R)                       54%

Jack Conway (D)                  39%

Some Other Candidate         2%

Not Sure                               4%

Rasmussen writes: In August , Paul held a 51% to 41% lead over Conway. Paul is now supported by 54% of Likely Voters in Kentucky … while Democrat Jack Conway earns the vote from 39%. Two percent (2%) prefer another candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

The latest numbers move this race from Leans Republican to Solid Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.

This survey mirrors the findings in a recent WHAS11/Courier Journal Bluegrass Poll.

Click here to watch WHAS11’s Political Editor Joe Arnold’s report.

 

Both polls identified “likely” voters.

But a new CNN/Time/Opinion Research poll shows the race is a dead heat.  This poll concentrated on registered voters.

Election 2010: Kentucky Senate Race (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)

Rand Paul (R)                    46%

Jack Conway (D)               46%

Neither                               5%

No opinion                         4%

 

CNN’s Political Blog offers this analysis.

 

"Not surprisingly, Paul is winning among conservatives by more than 40 points," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "But Conway has a 22-point advantage among moderates."  Paul holds an 11-point advantage among independent voters, according to the survey.

Have you decided whom to vote for in this race?  Let me know your thoughts.

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Neil Middleton <><
WYMT Mountain News
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