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Rasmussen Poll: Grayson, Paul Lose Ground But Still Ahead

Let’s take a look at the latest Rasmussen poll results for Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race.

Let’s take a look at the latest Rasmussen poll results for Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race.

Kentucky Survey of 500 likely voters – April 28, 2010

 

Election 2010: Kentucky Senate

Trey Grayson (R)

45%

Daniel Mongiardo (D)

31%

Some Other Candidate

10%

Not Sure

13%

 

Election 2010: Kentucky Senate

Rand Paul (R)

48%

Daniel Mongiardo (D)

32%

Some Other Candidate

8%

Not Sure

12%

 

Election 2010: Kentucky Senate

Trey Grayson (R)

43%

Jack Conway (D)

38%

Some Other Candidate

8%

Not Sure

12%

 

Election 2010: Kentucky Senate

Rand Paul (R)

47%

Jack Conway (D)

38%

Some Other Candidate

4%

Not Sure

10%

 

Click here for the full results.

Here is the report as posted on Rasmussen’s website.

Trey Grayson and Rand Paul both continue to earn more potential votes than either of their Democratic rivals in Kentucky’s race for the U.S. Senate, but both Republicans have dropped to their lowest levels of support since February.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Kentucky shows Paul earning 48% support to 32% for Democratic Lieutenant Governor Daniel Mongiardo. When his opponent is state Attorney General Jack Conway, Paul captures 47% of the vote to the Democrat’s 38%.

Grayson, Kentucky’s current secretary of state, picks up 45% to Mongiardo’s 31% and 43% to Conway’s 38%.

In all the contests, undecided voters are in low double-digits, while slightly fewer prefer some other candidate.

Last month, for the first time, both GOP hopefuls earned 50% or slightly more of the vote in all of the match-ups. Conway and Mongiardo have been stuck in the 30s in surveys since the first of the year, while Paul and Grayson have generally been in the mid- to upper 40s.

Both parties will pick their nominees in just over two weeks on May 18.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Kentucky was conducted on April 28, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Whichever Democrat is the party’s choice, he faces a tough contest in a state where the recently-passed national health care plan remains highly unpopular. Sixty percent (60%) of Kentucky voters favor repeal of the plan, including 50% who Strongly Favor it. Just 34% oppose repeal, with 24% who Strongly Oppose it.

Nationally, 58% favor repeal of the health care plan.

Two-thirds or more of the voters in the larger group who Strongly Favor repeal support the Republican Senate candidates, while both Democrats earn similar support from those who are Strongly Opposed. Rand and Conway run stronger in their respective groups.

The GOP contenders also carry voters not affiliated with either of the major parties by double-digit margins over the Democrats, but these voters give Paul, who is viewed as the Tea Party favorite, a much bigger edge.

Grayson is viewed very favorably by eight percent (8%) of Kentucky voters and very unfavorably by the same number (8%).

For Paul, very favorables are 22% and very unfavorables 14%.

Fifteen percent (15%) have a very favorable opinion of Conway, while another 15% regard him very unfavorably.

Mongiardo has very favorables of 15% and very unfavorables of 19%.

At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers

Another delicate issue for Democrats in this election cycle is immigration reform. Sixty-five percent (65%) of Kentucky voters favor a law like the one just passed in Arizona which allows local police stop stop and check the immigration status of anyone that suspect of being an illegal immigrant. That’s five points higher than support nationally.

Fifty-one percent (51%), however, are at least somewhat concerned that the law may violate the civil rights of some U.S. citizens. Like voters nationwide, 58% of voters in Kentucky favor a policy that would welcome all immigrants except “national security threats, criminals and those who would come here to live off our welfare system.”

Voters in the state are evenly divided on the importance of passing energy legislation this year to reduce global warming. Forty-one percent (41%) oppose such legislation anyway, while 34% favor it.

Voters are also evenly divided over whether it’s good for Republicans to be the Party of No, unified in their opposition to President Obama’s legislative agenda.

Still, 69% think America is overtaxed, slightly higher than sentiments nationally.

Forty-one percent (41%) of Kentucky voters approve of how Obama is handling the role of president, while 59% disapprove. This is higher disapproval than he earns nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

Fifty-two percent (52%) like the job Democratic Governor Steve Beshear is doing, up six points from a month ago. Forty-six percent (46%) disapprove.

Rasmussen Reports has recently surveyed Senate races in Arizona, Alabama, Arkansas, Pennsylvania, California, Wisconsin, Washington,Delaware, Florida, Nevada, Indiana, Kansas, Maryland, Missouri, New Hampshire, North Dakota,Ohio, Oregon, Connecticut, Illinois, North Carolina,Iowa,Vermont,Idaho and Hawaii.

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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

 

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