A new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll shows Rand Paul leading Democrat Jack Conway by a slim three point margin in Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race.

The telephone poll of 600 likely voters was conducted after Paul’s controversial remarks about the 1964 Civil Rights Act.

Here are the numbers.

Rand Paul (R)                44%

Jack Conway (D)            41%

Undecided                       9%

The numbers are virtually unchanged from a poll taken the week before the May Primary Election. 

Here are those numbers.

Rand Paul (R)               42%

Jack Conway (D)          39%

Here is how the Daily Kos, a liberal blog, breaks down the numbers.

“Paul's favorabilities are down among Independents -- from 62-16 to 58-20, and among Democrats -- from 37-45 to 29-57. Lucky for him, railing against the Civil Rights Act plays to his base. Among Republicans, Rand is now up to 79-9, from 76-10.

This race's big battleground will be independent voters -- Paul is currently winning them 42-31, with 27 percent undecided, and Democrats, where Conway is only getting 75 percent to Paul's 7 Percent, with 18 percent undecided. Remember, this is Kentucky, where a significant number of voters who vote Dem in statewide elections vote GOP for federal races. Paul has already consolidated GOP support, winning them 86-6, with just 8 percent undecided.”

Click here to read the complete poll results.

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A recent Rasmussen Report poll shows Rand Paul with a 25-point lead over Jack Conway.  The survey of 500 likely voters was taken the day after Paul’s landslide win in the May Primary Election.  That was the same day Paul sparked a political firestorm with his comments on the 1964 Civil Rights Act.

Here are the numbers.

Rand Paul (R)                      59%

Jack Conway (D)                 34%

Some Other Candidate         4%

Not Sure                               3%

In what turned out to be a prophetic statement, Rasmussen warned against Paul becoming overconfident and committing “unforced errors.”

“While Paul is capitalizing for now on Tea Party unhappiness in Kentucky over national policies, he’s also a political newcomer who’s running against a candidate who has previously run both for Congress and for statewide office. Rookie candidates often make unforced errors and it is difficult to project how well the GOP candidate will handle the campaign trail between now and November.”

Click here to read the complete poll results.

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