Lexington Mayor Jim Newberry seems to be set to clear the first hurdle in his re-election bid. A new Kentucky Poll finds the mayor in a comfortable lead over the vice mayor and the former mayor vying to get her job back.
“While there are four candidates are on the ballot, it's really a three-way race for Lexington mayor,” said WKYT political editor Bill Bryant about the poll’s results. “The battle is between Mayor Jim Newberry, Vice Mayor Jim Gray, and former Mayor Teresa Isaac.”
WKYT and The Herald-Leader polled 600 likely Fayette County voters over the weekend and Monday.
Finishing on top is Mayor Jim Newberry who was the top choice for 36 percent of those polled. Vice Mayor Jim Gray came in second preferred by 27 percent of those polled. Not far behind in third is former Mayor Teresa Isaac who was the top choice of 21 percent. In the distance with only two percent is political outsider Skip Horine.
An analysis of the top three finds Mayor Newberry's best showings were among women, Democrats, and white voters.
Vice Mayor Gray's biggest strength is among independents where he was the most favored candidate. He also virtually tied Newberry among black voters.
Both Gray and Newberry score poorly among Republicans who give a commanding lead to former Mayor Isaac. But Isaac ranks poorly among fellow women, Democrats, independents and black voters.
The top two vote getters will move on from next Tuesday's primary to the general election.
The Kentucky Poll of Fayette County was conducted by Research 2000 from May 8 through May 10. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in city elections were interviewed by telephone.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the city. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus four percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.