Poll: Race, Gender Not Factor For Most Ky. Democrats
Poll: Race, Gender Not Factor For Most Ky. Democrats Save Email Print
Posted: 12:33 AM May 12, 2008
Last Updated: 10:46 AM May 12, 2008

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The race for the Democratic presidential nomination now focuses on just a handful of states. In the final stretch, Kentucky is in the forefront along with West Virginia, Oregon, and Montana.

Regardless the outcome, Democrats will have a historic ticket with either an African-American or woman at the top.

In a WKYT/The Herald-Leader statewide poll of 500 likely Democratic voters, the majority of those surveyed don’t think Sen. Hillary Clinton’s gender or Sen. Barack Obama’s race is a factor in their electability.

The poll was conducted for WKYT and The Herald-Leader by Research 2000 last week following Obama’s definitive win in North Carolina and Clinton’s narrow victory in Indiana. The poll found 63 percent of likely Kentucky Democratic voters think Clinton's gender doesn’t make her any more or less electable. Fifty-six percent think Obama's race won't be a factor either.

"In terms of gender, it's not all that surprising,” said Joe Gershtenson of Eastern Kentucky University’s Center for Kentucky Politics. “We have had a female governor so we know females can win statewide races here. That's not particularly surprising. Race is perhaps a little more surprising."

While Sen. Obama might be ahead in the popular vote and the delegate counts, Sen. Clinton shows no sign of ending her run for the presidency.

Now, her campaign trail will either find another fork in the road or a potential dead end in Kentucky. "Last time I was here I got a Louisville slugger, and it was an appropriate gift because I will always go to bat for you," Clinton told supporters in Louisville Friday night.

After pulling ahead in the super delegate count as well as the pledged delegates and popular vote, Obama told crowds in Oregon on Saturday the race is turning even more in his favor. "I think it's an encouraging sign that we're making progress, that the super delegates are moving in our direction," Obama said.

Controversies and Scrutiny

Both Clinton and Obama have been the targets of tough scrutiny. Obama for his controversial former pastor and comments about small town voters. Clinton for stretching the truth about the safety of her trip to Bosnia.

In the WKYT/The Herald-Leader poll, 43 percent said the racially-charged sermons from the Rev. Jeremiah Wright will have a negative impact on Obama's chances. But 62 percent think Obama's own comments about small-town Americans who have lost their jobs and "cling to guns or religion" won't impact their vote.

Exactly two-thirds (66 percent) of the Democrats polled say Clinton's slip about being under fire while in Bosnia years ago doesn't matter either.

The Horserace

At 11 p.m. Sunday, WKYT will reveal whether Clinton or Obama is likely to carry Kentucky on May 20 and whether likely Kentucky Democratic voters would cross party lines to support Sen. John McCain -- the presumtive Republican nominee -- if the candidate they’re voting for in the primary doesn’t win.

Poll Methodology

WKYT and The Herald-Leader conducted the poll with the assistance of Research 2000 of Olney, Md. Between May and 9, a total of 500 likely Democratic primary voters were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross section of exchanges was utilized to ensure and accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

The margin of error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. This means there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin of error is higher for any subgroup, such as gender or party affiliation.

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Posted by: Cindy Location: Combs on Aug 23, 2008 at 04:02 AM
I was Ready to vote for Hilary Clinton in a heartbeat,I am not interestd in the other two running,Since Clinton will not be Obamas running mate,I will just not vote at all!!!!!!!Either way,there is going to be a Dud for a President! Not the first time!I can say once again...I didn't vote for him!!!Goodluck America...You are asking for it!!!

Posted by: Karen Location: Florida on May 20, 2008 at 07:08 PM
It is appalling to read some of the lies on this page ... Obama is a Christian ... he is NOT a dual national -- his father was Kenyan and his mother American ... He is a US Senator his patriotism ought not be questioned ... Socialist and Marxist btw are two different things ... Israel is Socialist ... most of Europe is socialist ... and to the person who wrote about loosing his freedom ... it was taken away during the Bush administration ... Hyperbole may be fun ... but facts are far more powerful ...

Posted by: Prince Location: New Orleans on May 20, 2008 at 04:11 PM
Obama knows that the people of Kentucky will not vote for him; even if he visited kentucky ten thousand times. By not visiting, he is showing America that he is being cost effective, and will not waste money on nonsense, like the war in Iraq, and a state that hates him.

Posted by: lee Location: florida on May 15, 2008 at 06:33 AM
I cast my vote for Change. As for more than 20 years, knowingly the problems arising, NO PRESIDENT, or his administration, or congress did anything to free us from foreign oil dependency. Yet countries like Norway, Finland, Iceland & Sweden are now 70% renewable energy, and Brazil runs on sugar cane fuel. WHERE WERE OUR LEADERS? In the pockets of lobbyists! This Time...Vote smart. Obama 08. Say no to Lobbyists, no to FREE TRADE, but Yes to FAIR TRADE. Get America on a ENERGY PROGRAM. Bring back auto industry, with bright minds, and sell to China who desperately want cars. Bring back coal-but clean. WIND, SOLAR, WATER. Kennedy put a man on the moon in 4 years. Anything is possible with inspiration!

Posted by: KJ Location: Richmond on May 13, 2008 at 09:22 PM
To Mr. Unite- do you honestly believe they are proud of their contry? I do not because he still hold a dual citizenship with the US and Kenya. If he were truly proud to be an American then he would not have a dual citizenship. Also he would answer questions posed to him on TV about his patriotism that he said he did not feel that he needed to justify-but when running for a public office yes you do.

Posted by: Mr. Unite Us Location: North Carolina on May 13, 2008 at 03:35 PM
Michelle and Barack Obama and proud of this country and said there stories would not be possible anywhere else. Now here is the speech that Michelle Obama made in Wisconsin, where Obama won by a large margin. Note the applause after she says "proud of my country." It's obvious that she is proud of the record participation in the voting process. Watch the video and see if you agree? http://youtube.com/watch?v=Nh1TddL9YvQ&feature=related As for where Obama stands on important issues like the economy visit his website. http://www.barackobama.com/issues/economy/

Posted by: Angry Location: Richmond on May 13, 2008 at 02:35 PM
I have to say I am not a racist, but I will not be voting for Obama. It has nothing to do with the color of his skin but simply his lack of inexperience in office, his and his wife lack of patriotism. As far as being uneducated I have a college degree and beyond as well as does everyone in my family that will also not be voting for him. Nor am I an inbred. People that make those comments should stop and think before making them. Also when Michelle Obama said she was only proud to be an American once in her life she is disgracing all the men and women who fight for our country as well as the people that march and fight for civil rights. She should stop and think about her free education to the Ivy League school she attended before making statements such as only proud to be an American once in her life.

Posted by: JB Location: KY on May 13, 2008 at 07:13 AM
I am so sick of going to these other news sites and reading how others call us "indbred" "uneducated" and so on. We have as much right to our vote as any other state, regardless of who we choose to vote for. I am also tired of hearing I am "racist" if I don't support Obama for President...excuse me, but I am NOT racist, I just don't particularly like the man's policies. I really don't like any of the candidates that are running 100%. I have to say I have never been so sick of any presidential race before. All the hatred and nastiness from both sides.

Posted by: Zatoichi Location: Richmond on May 13, 2008 at 05:32 AM
Patrick, you're right Obama is not a muslim and not a Christian either. But he is a socialist and Marxist and an opportunist.

Posted by: GhettoBoy Location: Richmond on May 12, 2008 at 10:15 PM
Amen to Laura-when will everyone wake up and realize this?

Posted by: steve on May 12, 2008 at 07:25 PM
Three clowns i am staying home.

Posted by: Anonymous Location: Frankfort on May 12, 2008 at 06:51 PM
This is a totally unreliable poll. If you ask a person if they are racist or anti-feminist, of course their answer overwhelmingly will be "no", but when they get in the voting booth, it will have a LOT to do with their vote. I have talked to many lifelong democrats all over the state this election cycle, and I have heard more than one say that if Obama wins the nomination, they cannot vote for a black man for President. They try to say it's because he's Muslim or non-Christian or whatever else they read in a spam email, but the truth is that deep down they are racist. And the ones that say Hillary is a two-faced (edited) are anti-feminist. Those that say that neither candidate are good and that they will have to cross-over and vote for a republican no matter who wins the nomination are both. Wait until November and see how our state votes, and you'll see that it's MUCH more racist or anti-feminist than you ever thought.

Posted by: Patrick Location: Hazard on May 12, 2008 at 05:10 PM
People. Barack Obama is not a Muslim. Anyone who says that is an idiot.

Posted by: JC Location: Madison County on May 12, 2008 at 01:39 PM
MATT!! I think you are prejudice against women. You are just mad because your canidate is most likely going to lose Kentucky by double digits. I am so tired of hearing the race issue. For that matter, Obama supporters don't like Hillary because she is a woman. That is why Obama is gaining in the polls, narrow minded sexist people that think a woman can't get it done. I would love to see Obama and Hillary one on one in an unmediated debate. She could eat him for breakfast. Anyway, GO HILLARY!!!

Posted by: Sure Location: KY on May 12, 2008 at 11:57 AM
How about we all write in "None of the Above" and see if we can't come up with something, anything better than what we are being offered?

Posted by: Matt on May 12, 2008 at 11:29 AM
This article title is misleading. Lexington, Louisville, and Northern Kentucky (The Golden Triangle) will help to partially balance the racist ignorance that rural Kentucky. Most Kentucky voters would die before they nominate a black man to be a candidate for president. Not saying that is how I will vote, I am just saying that is how it will happen. I'm voting for Ron Paul on May 20, and, as of this moment, Obama in November. That could change anytime.

Posted by: Chrissy Location: downtown on May 12, 2008 at 11:05 AM
Hillary will win in KY and Obama will get the nod for the generel election in November. However, McCain will be our next President. Why you ask? Heres the dirty little truth that no one will talk about..........young voters will not show up to vote and no matter how politically correct everyone wants to be in this country white people will say they are going to vote for Obama....but when they are in the privacey of the voting booth they WILL NOT vote for him. McCain in "08"

Posted by: c Location: fkt on May 12, 2008 at 10:54 AM
Obama will NEVER get my vote. He cannot be trusted. I think if he does get into the White House, the USA as we know it will end! No more freedom of speech, no more freedom of religion, no more freedoms period! He's not the one to run this country. I'll vote for McCain before I will vote for Obama! It's just a shame the democrats cannot give us a decent candidate to vote for! This year will have a muslin or a socialist. I'll just vote Republican again. At least I know I will not lose the freedoms I enjoy that way!

Posted by: greg Location: wooton on May 12, 2008 at 08:43 AM
Politics should be just like basketball, let the best person play wheather they be male or female black or white---just the best player after all that how gamws are won.

Posted by: jeff Location: lost creek on May 12, 2008 at 08:35 AM
God above only knows that we have to do better than re-voting Bush with that McCain character. Folks, haven't you learned and suffered enough under the suppressive rule of the republicans the rich get richer and the poor suffer more and more. It is time to equalize the wealth in this country not republicanize it again for 4 more years.

Posted by: gcg Location: csrlisle on May 12, 2008 at 08:17 AM
Voters you put that muslim in the white house and you will think Bush is a saint.Marleene Davis all she talks about is race.I am going to vote but it won't be for Obama and the leaders that voted for him I won't vote for them when they run for election,and tat is Chandler and his gang.the old saying is put a fox in the hen house you got trouble.

Posted by: terri Location: east ky on May 12, 2008 at 06:39 AM
Doesn't matter which democrat is the winner of the primary they will be elected in the fall, even a bad democrat is better that any of those pitiful and pathetic GOP folks who hide behind religion to do anything they want, lets think back over the past 8 years and see what I mean.

Posted by: Rob Location: Lexington on May 11, 2008 at 11:30 PM
I am voting for my dog.He would do the job for just a pat on the head and some food.These idiots only want the money and the power.Why else would a normal person spend the amount of money they do to make less than $250,000.00 a year.How about we bring back one of our former Gov's. to run......Nope,can't find a honest one of them either.

Posted by: Laura Location: kentucky on May 11, 2008 at 11:21 PM
no, the color of the mans skin should not be a factor- the color of his heart should! the colors are red-white-and blue. Obama is affiliated with every anti-american, prejudiced nut case there is. Listen, it's simple- a vote for Obama is a vote for rev. wright, and his friend Louis Farakahn.

Posted by: Rick phillips Location: London on May 11, 2008 at 08:06 PM
Let me ask, Why should race or gender be a factor in the race for the White House. Hasn't this Country matured enough to not let this be even brought up when it come to an Election or any matter. Sure there are a few bigots in this nation, but every nation has it's share of them, but as here they are the minority, I remember when the bigots said we can't let a Catholic be the President, and most Americans say JFK was one of the greatest Presidents we ever had. America has grown up, and it's time for prejudice to hide it's ugly head.

Posted by: Bernadette Location: Corbin on May 11, 2008 at 07:32 PM
I must say I am very disappointed with the whole of KY government. First our elected officals did not think we the voters ( the people who elected them )where smart enough to vote for or against legalized gambling. Nor did they want our opinion on a tabbaco tax. But now the people who were elected to speak for us,have decided to give thier support to the demorcatic candidate that they support.It would have been nice it more of our representatives would have waited until after the people of KY voted, and then supported the canidate that the people of KY wanted to have the support of the state. I think its funny that the office holders do not want our votes to count unless we are voting for them. I for one am very tired of hearing how all of our representives hold the same opinions we do until they are elected and then it is only their own opinions (who cares if it is the opinion of the people of KY) I hear being voiced.

Posted by: Zatoichi Location: Richmond on May 11, 2008 at 10:37 AM
The only Democrat in the race this year is John McCain. Obama is a Marxist and Hillary is a Socialist. No Republicans are running. And no, W was never a real Republican either. I'm gonna Vote For Pedro.

Posted by: steve Location: irvine on May 11, 2008 at 10:02 AM
No they just vote for the most kook and socialist they can they are democrats theirs nothing democratic about them.

Posted by: Joe T. Location: Cynthiana on May 11, 2008 at 08:35 AM
If the people surveyed in this poll are being honest, Obama will do better than the 2 to 1 edge Clinton has in the latest Kentucky primary polls. I doubt they are. The most telling statement is that 66 percent say Clinton's outright lie about her Bosnia trip doesn't matter to them. We have had eight years of dishonesty in our president. Do the 66 percent still think honesty doesn't matter?

Posted by: Matt Makaveli on May 11, 2008 at 06:09 AM
I'm white and I support Barack Obama! He is the fresh voice Washington needs and he will give a voice to the American people. I will glad to cast my vote on 20 Mayy 2008 for the 44th President of the United States!

Posted by: Becky Location: ohio on May 11, 2008 at 02:55 AM
Hi I hope that you will vote for Hillary Thank you for your consideration.A Hillary supporter from Ohio P.S. Happy mothers day

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